Board Thread:Lore Discussion/@comment-220.253.175.148-20161004082503/@comment-25078513-20161004125004

Kid Dagoth Ur is still a threat then I imagine the Tribunal would be doing everything to end the war as soon as possible because that is a much larger threat. Putting that aside, it really comes down to the faction that has the Inperial support vs the faction that has the support of the physical ascended mortal deities. At the start of Morrowind the Tribunal is losing power due to their losses to Dagoth Ur, having to keep the Ghostfemcd up, etc. The Empire is also waning though, and just about to pull many of its forces out due to unrest in Cyrodil. If the Empire really wants to, I think they could overwhelm the Tribunal and other houses with the support of House glaucoma and their economic and diplomatic advantages. They could start slave uprisings by promising freedom, etc.

I think this ends with Vivec pragmatically negotiating a truce with Hlaau and the Empire. He refers to them as "the fire" of Morrowind when you speak to him.