User blog comment:Zippertrain85/Why I choose the Ebonheart Pact and why I think they'll win./@comment-6044976-20131012012829/@comment-17114085-20131012022246

The Covenant isn't as neutral as you may believe, even though they don't outright hate another race(who is outside their faction) they do hate themselfs. Many orcs still hold a grudge against the redguards and bretons for destroying Orsinium, even though one of the terms of the covenant was the recreation of orsinium the grudge is still there. Fun fact: Orsinium is actually destroyed two more times by the bretons and redguards.

The only race the Nords still hold a grudge with is the dunmer, who are in their pact, the dunmer also have a grudge with the argonians, so the Pact is the most unstable of the alliances, i find it cool that unlike the other alliances in which politics was used to establish them the Ebonheart Pact was forget by war, a war with the Akaviri to be exact. The Nords, Dunmer and Argonians had to stick together to fend off an Akaviri Invasion or else they would die.

I don't think that the continued existance of the AD by the time of Talos means they won the War, as they don't hold Cyrodill(which in Talos's time is a bunch of small nations). It just means that they survived and the other alliances didn't. There are perfectly good explanations as to why the other alliances didn't survive: EP- after the war the dunmer, nords and argonians started to fight each other agains as they had nothing left keeping them together(common foe); DC-after the war Orsinium started to grow rapidly as all orcs started to migrate to the kingdom, this scared the bretons, who along side with the redguards destroyed Orsinium once again, bringing an end to the Covenant.