User blog comment:JoshofBlades/The Nerevarine Saved Morrowind then doomed it!/@comment-1663285-20111212030737/@comment-1663285-20111212041656

Given that nearly all of Morrowind itself was devestated by the eruption, and as far as I can tell they had no way to have forseen the disaster, I'm pretty sure it would've played out the exact same way.